Get Boston Sports Sunday Night NFL Game Analysis – New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys – Week 4
FINAL: The Cowboys get their third win of the season by 20+ points. #NEvsDAL pic.twitter.com/5RUuJOYlTY
— NFL (@NFL) October 1, 2023
Sunday Night NFL Game Analysis: Week 4
Cowboys vs. Patriots: NFL Week 4 Matchup Analysis and Prediction
Injury Analysis
The Patriots have more key injuries than the Cowboys heading into this matchup. Christian Barmore, Davon Godchaux, and Jonathan Jones are all questionable to play. Barmore and Godchaux are both important starters on the defensive line, while Jones is a key player in the passing game.
The Cowboys have three key players who are questionable to play: Chuma Edoga, Tyler Biadasz, and Zack Martin. Edoga is a backup guard, but Biadasz and Martin are both important starters on the offensive line.
Stat Leaders
The Cowboys have the edge in terms of statistical leaders. Dak Prescott is averaging more passing yards per game than Mac Jones, and Tony Pollard is averaging more rushing yards per game than Rhamondre Stevenson. CeeDee Lamb is also averaging more receiving yards per game than Kendrick Bourne.
Team Comparison
The Cowboys have the edge in most statistical categories, including points scored per game, total yards per game, passing yards per game, and rushing yards per game. The Patriots have the edge in time of possession per game and sacks. The Cowboys have the best defense in the NFL, allowing the fewest points per game and total yards per game.
Prediction
The Cowboys are the better team on paper and they are in better form heading into this matchup. I predict that the Cowboys will win this game by a score of 27-17.
Bill Belichick Live Postgame Press Conference: https://t.co/58dvJg9WqX
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 2, 2023
Analysis
The New England Patriots and Dallas Cowboys have very different offensive and defensive strengths. The Patriots have a better passing offense, while the Cowboys have a better rushing offense. The Patriots also have a better defense overall, but the Cowboys have a better pass defense.
Offense
The Patriots’ passing offense is ranked 9th in the NFL, while the Cowboys’ passing offense is ranked 22nd. The Patriots are led by quarterback Mac Jones, who has thrown for 748 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions in three games. The Cowboys are led by quarterback Dak Prescott, who has thrown for 647 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions in three games.
The Patriots’ rushing offense is ranked 14th in the NFL, while the Cowboys’ rushing offense is ranked 8th. The Patriots are led by running back Pierre Strong Jr., who has rushed for 216 yards in three games. The Cowboys are led by running back Ezekiel Elliott, who has rushed for 297 yards in three games.
Defense
The Patriots’ defense is ranked 9th in the NFL, while the Cowboys’ defense is ranked 3rd. The Patriots are led by linebacker Matthew Judon, who has recorded three sacks and two forced fumbles in three games. The Cowboys are led by linebacker Micah Parsons, who has recorded four sacks and two forced fumbles in three games.
The Patriots’ pass defense is ranked 5th in the NFL, while the Cowboys’ pass defense is ranked 2nd. The Patriots are led by cornerback Jalen Mills, who has recorded two interceptions in three games. The Cowboys are led by cornerback Trevon Diggs, who has recorded five interceptions in three games.
Recent Games
The Patriots are 1-2 in their last three games, while the Cowboys are 2-1 in their last three games. The Patriots lost to the Miami Dolphins and the Philadelphia Eagles in their last two games, while the Cowboys lost to the Arizona Cardinals in their last game.
New England Patriots
Date | Home/Away | Opponent | Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 24 | @NY Jets | W | 15 – 10 | |
Sep 17 | vs Miami | L | 24 – 17 | |
Sep 10 | vs Philadelphia | L | 25 – 20 | |
Aug 25 | @Tennessee | L | 23 – 7 | |
Aug 19 | @Green Bay | W | 21 – 17 |
Dallas Cowboys
Date | Home/Away | Opponent | Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 24 | @Arizona | L | 28 – 16 | |
Sep 17 | vs NY Jets | W | 30 – 10 | |
Sep 10 | @NY Giants | W | 40 – 0 | |
Aug 26 | *vs Las Vegas | W | 31 – 16 | |
Aug 19 | @Seattle | L | 22 – 14 |
Stat | New England Patriots | Dallas Cowboys |
---|---|---|
Points Scored Per Game | 17.3 (26th) | 28.7 (5th) |
Total Yards Per Game | 356.3 (15th) | 362.7 (12th) |
Passing Yards Per Game | 249.3 (9th) | 215.7 (22nd) |
Rushing Yards Per Game | 107 (14th) | 147 (8th) |
Time of Possession per Game | 30:15 (14th) | 34:26 (5th) |
Points Against Per Game | 19.7 (9th) | 12.7 (3rd) |
Total Yards Against Per Game | 270.33 (5th) | 262 (4th) |
Passing Yards Against Per Game | 177 (5th) | 130.67 (2nd) |
Rushing Yards Against Per Game | 93.33 (9th) | 131.33 (25th) |
Sacks | 7 (20th) | 12 (3rd) |
Interceptions | 1 (21st) | 5 (2nd) |
Forecast
The Patriots and Cowboys are two evenly matched teams. The Patriots have a better passing offense and defense, while the Cowboys have a better rushing offense and pass defense. The outcome of the game will likely depend on which team can force the other team to make more mistakes.
New England Patriots Injuries
Player | Position | Status | Injury Date |
---|---|---|---|
Jonathan Jones | CB | Questionable | Sep 27 |
Christian Barmore | DT | Questionable | Sep 27 |
Daniel Ekuale | DT | Injured reserve | Sep 26 |
Sidy Sow | G | Questionable | Sep 24 |
Cole Strange | G | Questionable | Sep 24 |
Davon Godchaux | DT | Questionable | Sep 24 |
Marcus Jones | CB | Injured reserve | Sep 22 |
Jack Jones | CB | Injured reserve | Sep 10 |
Riley Reiff | OT | Injured reserve | Sep 4 |
Tyquan Thornton | WR | Injured reserve | Aug 31 |
Isaiah Bolden | CB | Injured reserve | Aug 30 |
Trey Flowers | DE | Out | Aug 30 |
Cody Davis | S | Out | Aug 29 |
Tre Nixon | WR | Injured reserve | Aug 23 |
Terez Hall | LB | Injured reserve | Aug 4 |
Dallas Cowboys Injuries
Player | Position | Status | Injury Date |
---|---|---|---|
Chuma Edoga | G | Questionable | Sep 27 |
Zack Martin | G | Questionable | Sep 27 |
Tyler Biadasz | C | Questionable | Sep 27 |
Tyron Smith | OT | Questionable | Sep 27 |
Trevon Diggs | CB | Injured reserve | Sep 23 |
Nahshon Wright | CB | Injured reserve | Aug 30 |
Matt Waletzko | OT | Injured reserve | Aug 30 |
Josh Ball | OT | Injured reserve | Aug 29 |
DeMarvion Overshown | LB | Injured reserve | Aug 29 |
David Durden | WR | Injured reserve | Aug 29 |
John Stephens Jr. | WR | Injured reserve | Aug 29 |
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