2023

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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: Starting Pitchers and Quick Preview for September 29th, 2023

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Matches

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Todays Lineup

Boston Red Sox 

  1. Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF
  2. Rafael Devers (L) 3B
  3. Justin Turner (R) DH
  4. Adam Duvall (R) RF
  5. Rob Refsnyder (R) LF
  6. Trevor Story (R) SS
  7. Pablo Reyes (R) 2B
  8. Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
  9. Connor Wong (R) C

Baltimore Orioles

  1. Cedric Mullins (L) CF
  2. Adley Rutschman (S) C
  3. Ryan O’Hearn (L) DH
  4. Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
  5. Heston Kjerstad (L) RF
  6. Austin Hays (R) LF
  7. Adam Frazier (L) 2B
  8. Ramon Urias (R) 3B
  9. Jorge Mateo (R) SS

 

MLB Matchup Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles are set to face off in an upcoming MLB game. Here is a detailed analysis of the matchup:

Statistic John Means Nick Pivetta
WAR 0.5 1.9
W 1 9
L 1 9
ERA 2.6 4.25
IP 17.1 135.2
SO 6 173
WHIP 0.808 1.157

Based on the above statistics, Nick Pivetta has the better chance of winning this matchup. He has a higher WAR, more wins, more strikeouts, and a lower WHIP than John Means. Additionally, Pivetta has pitched more innings this season, which gives him more experience.

However, it is important to note that Means is also a very good pitcher. He has a low ERA and a good WHIP. Additionally, he is left-handed, which can give him an advantage against right-handed hitters.

Overall, Pivetta is the favorite to win this matchup, but Means is a capable pitcher who should not be underestimated.

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Red Sox Lineup – 9-29-2023

Recent Form and Updated Stats

The updated stats show that the Orioles have a slight edge in pitching ERA, while the Red Sox have a slight edge in batting average. However, the Orioles have the better starting pitcher in John Means, who has a 2.60 ERA compared to Nick Pivetta’s 4.25 ERA. The Orioles also have a better record in recent games, winning 6 of their last 10 games compared to the Red Sox’s 3 wins in their last 10 games.

Prediction on Over/Under 9 Runs and Score

Based on the updated stats and recent form, I predict that the Orioles will win the match by a score of 4-2. I also predict that the total number of runs scored in the match will be under 9 runs.Here is a more detailed explanation of my prediction:

  • I believe that the Orioles’ pitching will be too much for the Red Sox’s offense to handle.
  • I also believe that the Orioles will be able to score a few runs off of Pivetta.
  • A final score of 4-2 is a realistic outcome, as it is a low-scoring game that is still exciting to watch.

Overall Analysis

John Means has the edge in this matchup, with a lower ERA, WHIP, and home run rate than Nick Pivetta. However, Pivetta has a significant advantage in strikeouts. Means has been dominant since returning from the injured list in September, posting a 2.60 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in three starts.. He has also been stingy with the home run, allowing just one in 11 innings pitched. Pivetta has been up and down this season, but he has been better in recent weeks. He has allowed just two runs in his last two starts, and he has struck out 16 batters in that span.

Comparison of Team Stats

Here is a comparison of the team stats for the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles:

ComparisonTEAMSTATS
CategoryBoston Red SoxBaltimore Orioles
Batting Avg.259 (3rd).257 (8th)
Runs761 (9th)801 (7th)
Home Runs181 (18th)183 (16th)
On Base %.325 (11th).323 (14th)
Slugging %.427 (7th).425 (9th)
ERA4.58 (21st)3.93 (7th)
Home Runs Allowed208 (25th)176 (6th)
WHIP1.35 (20th)1.24 (7th)
Batting Average Against.258 (25th).242 (11th)

Probability of Winning

Based on the analysis above, the probability of winning for each team is:

  • Red Sox: 40%
  • Orioles: 60%

In conclusion, the Baltimore Orioles have the edge in this matchup, with better pitching and recent form. However, the Red Sox have a top-five offense in the MLB, led by Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers. It should be an exciting game to watch!

Team Ranks

Stat Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average 6th (.258) 3rd (.261)
Runs 4th (832) 9th (761)
Home Runs 6th (223) 16th (181)
On-Base Percentage 6th (.330) 10th (.327)
Slugging Percentage 4th (.443) 7th (.430)
ERA 5th (3.85) 21st (4.59)
Home Runs Allowed 5th (172) 25th (205)
WHIP 1st (1.17) 20th (1.35)
Batting Average Against 2nd (.230) 6th (.258)

Comparison Analysis of Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays

The Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays are two of the best teams in the American League. Both teams have strong offenses and defenses, but the Red Sox have a slight edge in most statistical categories.

Batting

The Red Sox rank 6th in batting average, 4th in runs, 6th in home runs, and 6th in on-base percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays rank 3rd in batting average, 9th in runs, 16th in home runs, and 10th in on-base percentage.

Pitching

The Red Sox rank 5th in ERA, 5th in home runs allowed, and 1st in WHIP. The Tampa Bay Rays rank 21st in ERA, 25th in home runs allowed, and 20th in WHIP.

Defense

The Red Sox rank 2nd in batting average against, while the Tampa Bay Rays rank 6th in batting average against.

Advantage

The Red Sox have a slight advantage over the Tampa Bay Rays in most statistical categories. They have a better offense, defense, and pitching staff.

Conclusion

The Red Sox are the better team on paper, but the Tampa Bay Rays are a good team and should be able to compete with the Red Sox in any given game.

 

MLB Final Scores

September 28, 2023:
HomeAwayCurrent StandingsScoreWinner
Oakland AthleticsMinnesota TwinsA's 89-71, Twins 73-872-1Athletics
Arizona DiamondbacksChicago White SoxWhite Sox 80-79, D-backs 71-891-3White Sox
Kansas City RoyalsDetroit TigersTigers 77-83, Royals 63-973-7Tigers
St. Louis CardinalsMilwaukee BrewersBrewers 92-68, Cardinals 78-820-3Brewers
Pittsburgh PiratesPhiladelphia PhilliesPhillies 85-75, Pirates 69-913-2Pirates
Boston Red SoxBaltimore OriolesOrioles 82-78, Red Sox 79-810-2Orioles
New York YankeesToronto Blue JaysBlue Jays 98-62, Yankees 94-660-6Blue Jays
Chicago CubsAtlanta BravesBraves 102-56, Cubs 82-763-5Braves
Los Angeles DodgersColorado RockiesDodgers 99-61, Rockies 65-955-14Rockies
Texas RangersSeattle MarinersMariners 82-78, Rangers 77-832-3Mariners
Kansas City RoyalsDetroit TigersTigers 77-83, Royals 63-970-8Tigers

MLB Finals Scores - 27-Sep-23
TeamScoreTeamScore
Arizona Diamondbacks3Chicago White Sox0
Miami Marlins2New York Mets11
Tampa Bay Rays5Boston Red Sox0
Cincinnati Reds3Cleveland Guardians4
Washington Nationals1Baltimore Orioles5
Pittsburgh Pirates6Philadelphia Phillies7
New York Yankees6Toronto Blue Jays0
Chicago Cubs5Atlanta Braves6
St. Louis Cardinals2Milwaukee Brewers3
Oakland Athletics4Minnesota Twins6
Miami Marlins4New York Mets2
Los Angeles Dodgers8Colorado Rockies2
Texas Rangers5Los Angeles Angels0
Houston Astros8Seattle Mariners3
San Diego Padres5San Francisco Giants2

MLBFinal Scores9/26/2023
Away TeamHome TeamCurrent StandingsFinal Score
Los Angeles DodgersColorado RockiesLAD: 97-60, COL: 57-100LAD 1 - COL 4
Cincinnati RedsCleveland GuardiansCIN: 81-77, CLE: 74-84CIN 11 - CLE 7
Washington NationalsBaltimore OriolesWAS: 69-89, BAL: 98-59WAS 0 - BAL 1
Kansas City RoyalsDetroit TigersKC: 54-103, DET: 74-83KC 3 - DET 6
Pittsburgh PiratesPhiladelphia PhilliesPIT: 74-83, PHI: 88-69PIT 2 - PHI 3
New York YankeesToronto Blue JaysNYY: 80-77, TOR: 87-70NYY 2 - TOR 0
Tampa Bay RaysBoston Red SoxTB: 96-62, BOS: 76-81TB 9 - BOS 7
Chicago CubsAtlanta BravesCHC: 82-75, ATL: 101-56CHC 6 - ATL 7
Arizona DiamondbacksChicago White SoxARI: 83-74, CWS: 60-97ARI 15 - CWS 4
St. Louis CardinalsMilwaukee BrewersSTL: 69-88, MIL: 88-69STL 4 - MIL 1
Oakland AthleticsMinnesota TwinsOAK: 48-109, MIN: 84-73OAK 3 - MIN 11
Los Angeles DodgersColorado RockiesLAD: 97-60, COL: 57-100LAD 11 - COL 2
Texas RangersLos Angeles AngelsTEX: 88-69, LAA: 71-87TEX 3 - LAA 9
San Diego PadresSan Francisco GiantsSD: 78-80, SF: 78-80SD 4 - SF 0
Houston AstrosSeattle MarinersHOU: 86-72, SEA: 85-72HOU 2 - SEA 6
Miami MarlinsNew York MetsMIA: 81-75, NYM: 71-85Ppd

MLB Upcoming Games

Today September 29th, 2023

HomeAwayCurrent StandingsLine OddsTVGame Time
Miami MarlinsPittsburgh Pirates82-76 / 75-84MIA -130S NPT3:15 PM
Cleveland GuardiansDetroit Tigers75-84 / 76-83CLE -110BSDET3:40 PM
Boston Red SoxBaltimore Orioles76-83 / 100-59BAL -105MASN4:05 PM
Tampa Bay RaysToronto Blue Jays97-62 / 88-71TOR -145SNET4:07 PM
Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets89-70 / 72-86PHI -125SNY4:10 PM
Washington NationalsAtlanta Braves69-90 / 103-56ATL -300BSSE4:20 PM
San Diego PadresChicago White Sox79-80 / 61-98SD -145NSPCH4:40 PM
New York YankeesKansas City Royals81-78 / 54-105NYY -145BSKC5:10 PM
Chicago CubsMilwaukee Brewers82-77 / 90-69MIL -115BSWI5:10 PM
Minnesota TwinsColorado Rockies85-74 / 58-101MIN -190SN RM5:10 PM
Cincinnati RedsSt. Louis Cardinals81-78 / 69-90CIN -120BSMW5:15 PM
Oakland AthleticsLos Angeles Angels49-110 / 71-88LAA -150BSW H6:38 PM
Houston AstrosArizona Diamondbacks87-72 / 84-75ARI -120AT&T SportsNet Southwest6:40 PM
Texas RangersSeattle Mariners89-70 / 86-73SEA -120RSNW7:10 PM
Los Angeles DodgersSan Francisco Giants98-61 / 78-81LAD -145NSPB7:15 PM

Thursday September 28th
MLB REGULAR SEASONTIME ET
Kansas City at Detroit1:10pm
Oakland at Minnesota1:10pm
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia6:05pm
Boston at Baltimore6:35pm
NY Yankees at Toronto7:07pm
Miami at NY Mets7:10pm
Chi. Cubs at Atlanta7:20pm
St. Louis at Milwaukee7:40pm
LA Dodgers at Colorado8:40pm
Texas at Seattle9:40pm
NFL REGULAR SEASONTIME ET
Detroit at Green Bay8:15pm
COLLEGE FOOTBALLTIME ET
Middle Tennessee at WKU7:30pm
Temple at Tulsa7:30pm
Jacksonville ST @ Sam Houston8:00pm

WednesdaySports On TV Today2023
Time (EDT)MLB Home TeamAway TeamTV Channel
2:10 PMChicago White SoxArizona DiamondbacksMLB NETWORK, MLB.TV, NBCS CHICAGO
4:10 PMNew York MetsMiami Marlins (Game 1)BALLY FLORIDA, ESPN APP, ESPN+, MLB.TV, SNY
6:10 PMCleveland GuardiansCincinnati RedsBALLY GREAT LAKES, BALLY INDIANA, BALLY OHIO, BALLY SOUTHEAST, MLB.TV
6:10 PMBoston Red SoxTampa Bay RaysBALLY SUN, ESPN APP, ESPN+, MLB.TV, NESN
6:35 PMBaltimore OriolesWashington NationalsMASN, MASN 2, MLB.TV
6:40 PMDetroit TigersKansas City RoyalsBALLY DETROIT, BALLY KANSAS CITY, BALLY MIDWEST, MLB.TV
6:40 PMPhiladelphia PhilliesPittsburgh PiratesATTSN PITTSBURGH, MLB.TV, NBCS PHILADELPHIA
7:07 PMToronto Blue JaysNew York YankeesAMAZON PRIME, MLB.TV, SPORTSNET SN EAST, SN ONTARIO
7:10 PMNew York MetsMiami Marlins (Game 2)BALLY FLORIDA, SNY
7:20 PMAtlanta BravesChicago CubsBALLY CAROLINAS, BALLY SOUTH, MARQUEE, MLB.TV, RDS 2
7:40 PMMinnesota TwinsOakland AthleticsBALLY NORTH, MLB.TV, NBCS CALIFORNIA
7:40 PMMilwaukee BrewersSt. Louis CardinalsBALLY MIDWEST, BALLY SOUTHEAST, BALLY WISCONSIN, MLB.TV
8:40 PMColorado RockiesLos Angeles DodgersATTSN ROCKY MOUNTAIN, MLB.TV, SPORTSNET LA
9:38 PMLos Angeles AngelsTexas RangersBALLY NEW ORLEANS, BALLY OKLAHOMA, BALLY SOUTHWEST, BALLY SOUTHWEST XTRA, BALLY WEST, MORE
9:40 PMSeattle MarinersHouston AstrosATTSN SOUTHWEST, MLB NETWORK, MLB.TV, ROOT SPORTS
9:45 PMSan Francisco GiantsSan Diego PadresMLB NETWORK, MLB.TV, NBCS BAY AREA, SAN DIEGO PADRES

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